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I'm going to start this thread off with this report from Imperial College in the UK. This is the report which cause the UK government to change strategies and ramp up the UK response considerably. It makes for VERY sombre reading: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf